UC1: PV Load Reconstruction – Results
UC1 involves estimating PV generation to enable the reconstruction of true net load. The accuracy of the estimated PV production is crucial here.
Table: Model comparison and performance in UC1
| Model Configuration | Input Data Used | wRMSE(PV generation Estimation) |
|---|---|---|
| Simple Baseline | Historical Patterns Only | 20.5% |
| NWP Enhanced | Baseline + NWP | 17.8% |
| EO Enhanced | Baseline + EO Features | 17.0% |
| Best Configuration | EO + NWP Fusion | 14.8% |
The performance target for this complex task (isolating PV from the aggregated consumption) was a wRMSE of 14.8%. The reduction from the baseline (20.5%) confirms that EO inputs provide meaningful gains in reconstructing true consumption, giving the DSO more reliable planning inputs.